Sheesh.. I take the weekend off from DG to garden, and a hurricane pops up! And a big one at that!
Folks in western Mexico need to paying attention to this one! It's a category 4, and although it is weakening, it may not have time to weaken very much before it makes landfall.
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND INGESTION OF DRY AND MORE STABLE AIR LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE HURRICANE. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE FASTER IN WEAKENING RICK THAN WAS SHOWN IN PREVIOUS FORECASTS...BUT THIS IS MAINLY DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ALREADY LOWER THAN EXPECTED. MOST IMPORTANTLY...RICK IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A SIGNIFICANT HURRICANE AS IT MOVES NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO IN 2 TO 3 DAYS. A 96-HOUR POSITION IS SHOWN TO MAINTAIN CONTINUITY IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST...BUT IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER WILL EXIST AT THAT TIME.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA EARLY MONDAY. INTERESTS THROUGHOUT SOUTHERN BAJA AND ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICK.