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Weather: Tropical Storm Ike

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Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 1, 2008
8:59 PM

Post #5495250

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[quote]AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1400 MILES...2250 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

GIVEN THE WARM OCEAN ALONG ITS PATH AND THE LOW SHEAR...IKE IS FORECAST TO REACH HURRICANE STATUS IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.[/quote]

Yet another storm heading straight for Cuba. Youch.

Thumbnail by Marylyn_TX
Click the image for an enlarged view.

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 1, 2008
10:51 PM

Post #5495635

Yeah, the Atlantic is getting busy... 3 more out there besides Hanna and Ike, although 2 look mild. The 3rd is huge already and they think it will get a TS number tonight or tomorrow even though it is not far off the coast of Africa.
MySharona
Amelia Island, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 2, 2008
12:47 AM

Post #5496171

Egads...make it stop! LOL!

There are 2 areas with "low potential for tropical cyclones" also...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 2, 2008
12:50 AM

Post #5496183

Thanks, Sharon. Those are what I mentioned above, but a map shows it so much better!
Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 2, 2008
1:12 PM

Post #5497801

Ike's intensity and direction hasn't changed much, and it's too far out for them to have any real idea yet how big it's going to get or where it's going to land. I'd quote from the NOAA page, but they didn't really have a lot to say. LOL Here it is, though, for anyone who wants to look: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Thumbnail by Marylyn_TX
Click the image for an enlarged view.

sanita
Brandon, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 2, 2008
1:49 PM

Post #5497959

Ike makes us nervous...AGAIN!!!!
It is so hot and humid here now. I hate to say it, but I hate it here this time of year. I'd give anything for just an evening below 70 degrees!
Susan
MySharona
Amelia Island, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 2, 2008
2:46 PM

Post #5498191

Amen Susan! LOL!

It was 79.7* at 6am this morning. :P
sanita
Brandon, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 2, 2008
2:50 PM

Post #5498214

Yep, our low was 77degrees. It was 92 degrees at 10:30 yesterday morning!
YUK!!!!!
I'm sure we have at least another month of this stifling heat and humidity,must be age, but it just zaps me of energy.
Yes, I'm griping!!!
Susan

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 2, 2008
2:53 PM

Post #5498227

Ike has company... Josephine!
sanita
Brandon, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 2, 2008
5:55 PM

Post #5498937

Over it!
Our yard looks beautiful (from inside) tons of butterflies from all we finally successfully raised. Hummingbirds are back.
I'm finishing a book I got for Christmas that I never got to and making a
beef brisket tomorrow. Just running out to the grocery store was miserable. The car finally cools off when you get to where you're going and is a sauna when you get back in.
My DH worked on the pool for 3 hours Friday and the all day rain Saturday voided all his efforts.
I'll be happy again in November (maybe)
Susan

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 2, 2008
8:58 PM

Post #5499629

5:00 [quote]...IKE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1030 MILES ...1655 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. IKE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY.[/quote]

Thumbnail by darius
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IO1
Waaaay Down South, GA

September 3, 2008
2:52 AM

Post #5501116

Darius ... you're just full of good news. NOT!
~Susan

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 4, 2008
3:24 AM

Post #5505851

Hang On!! From the 11PM Update: [quote]...IKE BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...[/quote]

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 4, 2008
3:26 AM

Post #5505861

Sorry, forgot to post the map...

Thumbnail by darius
Click the image for an enlarged view.

Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 4, 2008
12:55 PM

Post #5506737

This one's going to be a real stinker.

[quote]THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHAT LAND AREAS
MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE AFFECTED BY IKE.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IKE HAS INTENSIFIED SOME MORE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. IT IS EXPECTED THAT IKE WILL MAINTAIN CATEGORY FOUR OR CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IKE HAS INTENSIFIED FURTHER...WITH THE EYE EMBEDDED IN EVEN COLDER CLOUD TOPS THAN BEFORE. THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS ARE UP TO 6.5 WHICH SUPPORTS AN INTENSITY OF 125 KT...AND THIS IS USED FOR THE CURRENT ADVISORY. IN SUCH INTENSE HURRICANES...FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH DUE TO INNER-CORE EVOLUTIONS SUCH AS EYEWALL REPLACEMENTS ARE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT. HOWEVER...THE SHIPS MODEL SHOWS OVER 30 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR ON IKE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS DUE TO A STRENGTHENING UPPER-LEVEL HIGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE. THIS LARGE-SCALE ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCE SHOULD INDUCE SOME WEAKENING... AND THAT IS WHAT IS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST. LATER ON IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS PROBABLE AS THE SHEAR WEAKENS AND THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MIGHT BE CONSERVATIVE BUT IT REFLECTS OUR LACK OF SKILL IN FORECASTING TROPICAL CYCLONE
INTENSITY IN 3-5 DAYS.[/quote]

In other words, they're not sure yet where this storm is going to be in 3-5 days, but it's going to be dangerous! We'll be watching Ike very closely indeed.

Thumbnail by Marylyn_TX
Click the image for an enlarged view.

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 4, 2008
2:57 PM

Post #5507244

11:00 AM Update [quote]SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.[/quote]

Thumbnail by darius
Click the image for an enlarged view.

henryr10
Cincinnati, OH
(Zone 6b)

September 4, 2008
4:37 PM

Post #5507704

It appears the islands are going to be taking the brunt of these storms.
Bad for them... good for us.

We're seeing a bit of Gustav affect up here now.
Muggy and Cloudy... but Breezy now.

Ric
MySharona
Amelia Island, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 4, 2008
4:41 PM

Post #5507717

I need to buy a rubber ducky to play with when we start getting all this rain.
Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 4, 2008
4:41 PM

Post #5507721

LOL

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 4, 2008
8:42 PM

Post #5508486

Well, the 5PM Update doesn't have many changes... [quote]...IKE EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD OVERNIGHT...

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST OR ABOUT 505 MILES...815
KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 48 HOURS.[/quote]

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 5, 2008
3:12 AM

Post #5510047

11 PM Update [quote]NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IS
PREDICTED TO INCREASE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WHICH IS
ANTICIPATED TO CAUSE SOME WEAKENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST...
WHICH IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...IS AGAIN BETWEEN
THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE THAT CALLS FOR MORE WEAKENING AND THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS WHICH MAINTAIN AN INTENSE HURRICANE. IN ABOUT 2
DAYS...THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WHICH SHOULD ALLOW IKE TO
RE-STRENGTHEN.

IT APPEARS THAT IKE HAS TURNED WESTWARD THIS EVENING OR 275/12...
HOWEVER A SHORTER TERM MOTION IS ESSENTIALLY DUE WESTWARD. IKE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 2-3
DAYS...TO THE SOUTH OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF
THE CYCLONE. THEREAFTER...IKE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND BEGIN TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE
BIG QUESTION IS WHEN WILL THE TURN TAKE PLACE. THE TRACK GUIDANCE
IS IN TWO DISTINCT BRANCHES...THE GFS...NOGAPS...AND UKMET SHOW THE
TURN OCCURRING OVER THE BAHAMAS...WHILE THE HWRF...GFDL...AND
ECMWF TAKE IKE OVER CUBA OR THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. UNTIL IT
BECOME CLEAR AS TO WHICH ONE OF THESE SOLUTIONS WILL PREVAIL...
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS BETWEEN THEM...CLOSE TO THE
MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. [/quote]

Thumbnail by darius
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BloomsWithaView
Moab, UT
(Zone 6b)

September 5, 2008
6:26 AM

Post #5510436

Those poor low lying islands. And to think I used to think that would be paradise.
Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 5, 2008
12:08 PM

Post #5510826

Me, too, Blooms. Last year it seemed like every storm was hitting Bermuda. This year, Hispaniola, Cuba and the Bahamas are getting them all.

[quote]...MAJOR HURRICANE IKE HEADED WESTWARD...

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A SLIGHT TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST TONIGHT OR EARLY ON
SATURDAY...WITH A TURN BACK TO THE WEST EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. ON
THIS TRACK...IKE COULD BE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BUT IKE IS STILL FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR
HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

IT CANNOT BE SAID ENOUGH THAT FIVE-DAY TRACK FORECASTS
CAN HAVE SIGNIFICANT ERRORS...AND COMBINED WITH THE FACT THAT THE
MODEL SPREAD IS STILL NOTABLE BEYOND 72 HOURS...ONE SHOULD NOT
FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK. [/quote]

Thumbnail by Marylyn_TX
Click the image for an enlarged view.

sanita
Brandon, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 5, 2008
12:57 PM

Post #5510979

Oh, we're so tired of this!
Ike is a scary one. I don't think anyone will know what it's going to do until Sunday or Monday.
I sure hope it spares Haiti.
We're always prepared this time of year, but enough already!
Susan
henryr10
Cincinnati, OH
(Zone 6b)

September 5, 2008
4:30 PM

Post #5511896

Looks like this one wants to slap Dade County...
I have a few friends still in Ft L... guess I'll call and see where or if they're
going anywhere.

Ric
IO1
Waaaay Down South, GA

September 5, 2008
4:42 PM

Post #5511953

Yeah ... you just can't tell about this one. :-(
Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 6, 2008
5:02 PM

Post #5516355

[quote]IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED IN THE SHORT-TERM AND IKE COULD REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS BY TOMORROW.

IKE IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR VERY NEAR CUBA DURING THE 36-72 HR TIME FRAME WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN SOME WEAKENING. THE DEGREE OF WEAKENING WILL DEPEND LARGELY ON HOW CLOSE IKE TRACKS TO LAND.

BY DAY 4...IKE IS FORECAST TO EMERGE BACK OVER OPEN WATERS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING AND THE OCEAN SHOULD BE PLENTY WARM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR IKE TO RESTRENGTHEN AT 96 AND 120 HR. GIVEN THE EVOLVING ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT AND LAND INTERACTIONS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS LOWER THAN NORMAL
CONFIDENCE. [/quote]

Poor Cuba... hit again. Once Ike gets into the Gulf, they aren't sure which way it's going to turn. There's going to be a front moving through... If the front moves quickly, Ike could turn north quickly and hit Florida's panhandle/Alabama/Mississippi/eastern Louisiana. If it moves very slowly, it could come farther west towards western LA, or over towards us. Right now the 5 day map shows it heading towards Mississippi/LA, but as they said above, that's just a guess and they won't know until that front shows up. Keep watching and preparing, everyone!!

Thumbnail by Marylyn_TX
Click the image for an enlarged view.

IO1
Waaaay Down South, GA

September 6, 2008
8:07 PM

Post #5516999

I really don't like that pattern. LOL

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 6, 2008
9:04 PM

Post #5517263

I don't like it either... 5PM Update: [quote]MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS
IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT IKE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THIS PERIOD.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 949 MB...28.23 INCHES.

WITH
THE VERTICAL SHEAR OVER IKE NOW RELAXING AND THE WATERS ALONG THE
FORECAST TRACK WARM...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE UNTIL
IKE REACHES CUBA IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. ONCE OVER LAND...WEAKENING IS
ANTICIPATED UNTIL THE CYCLONE EMERGES BACK OVER WATER IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. HOWEVER...ONLY A
SMALL DEVIATION NORTH OR SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD KEEP THE
CORE OF THE CYCLONE OVER WATER AND LESS WEAKENING COULD OCCUR. SOME
RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE IKE DEPARTS CUBA SINCE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.[/quote]

The attached forecast track is the 5 day track and remember, IT IS STILL IFFY!

Thumbnail by darius
Click the image for an enlarged view.

Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 6, 2008
11:16 PM

Post #5517842

Ugh.. I was hoping it wouldn't strengthen THAT much that fast. :-(

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 7, 2008
12:05 AM

Post #5518031

Well, at least the 8pm update doesn't show additional strengthening...
terriculture
london England
United Kingdom

September 7, 2008
2:17 AM

Post #5518557

Hi everyone!
I have been watching this thread with great interest. My brother is in the Bahamas.
The maps and all the information you are providing is very helpful, Thanks so much.
Stay safe all.
IO1
Waaaay Down South, GA

September 7, 2008
2:21 AM

Post #5518579

Hi Terri!
Hope your DB will be okay. :) Sending prayers to him ...

Am also sending prayers to anyone else watching this thread in harm's way.
~Susan
terriculture
london England
United Kingdom

September 7, 2008
2:47 AM

Post #5518659

Hi Susan, Thank you.

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 7, 2008
3:11 AM

Post #5518719

The 11pm update discussion says that all indications are that in 5 days, Ike WILL be a major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, but more than that is unclear until after Ike hits or skirts Cuba...
henryr10
Cincinnati, OH
(Zone 6b)

September 7, 2008
4:30 AM

Post #5518992

Yep FAR too early to get excited yet.
I'm still looking at that Cuba track...
couple of degrees north and Ike could still impact the East Coast not the Gulf.

Ric

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 7, 2008
2:59 PM

Post #5520079

11:00 AM Update [quote]IKE IS FORECAST TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 2 DAYS. SINCE THE WATERS OVER THE GULF ARE WARM AND THE SHEAR IS NOT FORECAST TO BE HIGH... RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.


IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO ANTICIPATE WHICH AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST COULD BE IMPACTED BY THIS SYSTEM.[/quote]
araness
Auburn, AL
(Zone 8a)

September 7, 2008
5:11 PM

Post #5520549

Might want to tie down Marylyn the weather models have it hitting between Houston and Cameron...

stephanietx

stephanietx
Fort Worth, TX
(Zone 8a)

September 7, 2008
10:15 PM

Post #5521569

Ack! We don't need another hurricane in this part of the Gulf. No one NEEDS a hurricane, but especially since parts of LA, MS, and FL are still recovering from Gustav. Grief!

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 7, 2008
11:39 PM

Post #5521889

Not much new if anything, was posted at the 5PM update. There will be another update shortly, at 8PM, and I'll check it. Really, it looks like they won't know much more until about this time tomorrow (Monday) night. So far though, it looks like someone in the Gulf will get it... maybe in the U.S. and maybe not...
1cros3nails4gvn
Bluffton, SC
(Zone 9a)

September 8, 2008
12:27 AM

Post #5522084

hopefully it will...
a) magically disappear
b) weaken...a lot
or
c) hit an area that hasn't had one they are still recovering from, that is prepared to take it, and is as sparsely populated as possible

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 8, 2008
12:47 AM

Post #5522163

The 8PM Update contained nothing new either.
henryr10
Cincinnati, OH
(Zone 6b)

September 8, 2008
12:56 AM

Post #5522201

This is one SLOW moving storm.
Ike will take 2 days just to get thru Cuba.
Landlocked it will loose strength... if it tracks a bit north or south it will come out as a Cat 3...

I'd be surprised if they can call a track before early Tuesday morning... maybe afternoon.

Reuters reports one million people evac'd in Cuba...

Ric

9kittymom

9kittymom
Bartlesville, OK
(Zone 6a)

September 8, 2008
1:46 AM

Post #5522441

where the heck do you evacuate if you are in Cuba??

=^..^=
henryr10
Cincinnati, OH
(Zone 6b)

September 8, 2008
1:53 AM

Post #5522478

Miami...lol!
Actually they evacuated the coastal and flooding at risk.areas.
My friend Jose down there got evac'd to Eastern Cuba during Gustav.
It smacked the western part.
This time it's head for the hills

9kittymom

9kittymom
Bartlesville, OK
(Zone 6a)

September 8, 2008
1:56 AM

Post #5522497

LOL, Miami was what I was thinkin', ROFLOL

stephanietx

stephanietx
Fort Worth, TX
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
2:05 AM

Post #5522547

All I know is if it heads to New Orleans, many of those people will stay home this time and not evacuate, since Gustav wasn't as bad as predicted. Many of them don't have the financial resources to evacuate again and are still griping about the last evacuation.

beck5711
(Becky) Colmesneil, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 8, 2008
2:39 PM

Post #5524345

I have been lurking this thread, and finally decided to post..lol.. We went through Rita and that was bad enough.. we "ran" from Gustav.. our county was under mandatory evac, but Gustav turned and we were spared. TG We don't have to rely on gov assistance, and took our 5th wheel camper! I have heard stories where "some" folks were quite upset that they didn't get their fema check for Gustav, but I assure you, if it hits NO,LA. again.. they'll be gone... either by the hurricane, or "running" like I say we do.
podster
Deep East Texas, TX
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
2:44 PM

Post #5524372

Odd, we were in Rita too... everyone evacuating had flat bed trailers with four wheelers, vintage cars, BBQ pits, motorcycles. During Gustav, everyone was pulling a fifth wheel, camper or tent trailer. Lessons learned.

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 8, 2008
3:15 PM

Post #5524484

The stint over Cuba has weakened Ike some, but not as much as expected. The warm Gulf waters are still ahead...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/081453.shtml?

Map is the suggested 5 day track, and still FAR from being certain!

Thumbnail by darius
Click the image for an enlarged view.

araness
Auburn, AL
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
3:49 PM

Post #5524604

beck here is a link you might like, from a guy out of Beaumont. It stays up to date and has several different graphs etc.

http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 8, 2008
3:58 PM

Post #5524645

Wow... That's an impressive array of maps! Thanks for posting the link. I'm so far away that we only get information from the NOAA site.
araness
Auburn, AL
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
4:06 PM

Post #5524665

It is a neat map, I've sent it out to my family and friends...still, my Father called 25 times for Gustav, thought I was going to have to unplug the phone LOL he'd call and say "Fox news says your getting 45 mph winds..." I'd look outside to nothing. We did that about every hour last Sunday and Monday.

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 8, 2008
4:11 PM

Post #5524684

Too funny!
henryr10
Cincinnati, OH
(Zone 6b)

September 8, 2008
4:22 PM

Post #5524718

Tell your Father the 45 MPH winds were generated by your constant running to answer the phone...

Ric
MySharona
Amelia Island, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 8, 2008
4:24 PM

Post #5524729

I'm cracking up!
Susie2
Brazoria, TX
(Zone 9b)

September 8, 2008
4:31 PM

Post #5524759

I'm getting nervous, now. Moving my plants to protected areas today. It takes me practically all day and don't want to be rushed come Thursday. Appreciate the map link.
I bookmarked it.
beck5711
(Becky) Colmesneil, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 8, 2008
4:39 PM

Post #5524797

Ty for the info araness.. that is great.. I too am cracking up..LOL I can see you now.. like speed dialing.. cept it's your feet..LOL

Susie.. I too will once again have a lot to move.. but he's still to far out to really know where he's going to hit land.. just try to put your feet up, and don't worry.. like that is what I will be doing ..NOT

9kittymom

9kittymom
Bartlesville, OK
(Zone 6a)

September 8, 2008
6:53 PM

Post #5525268

I say WOW too!! I have bookmarked that site! Impressive!
thank you!
Susan
=^..^=
araness
Auburn, AL
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
7:55 PM

Post #5525514

I'm trying to keep the gas tank topped off but when I left the doctors today the Kroger's gas station was packed, so I'll do it mid week. I'm glad to know so many people are keeping an eye out and making plans to leave if needed. We didn't for Gustav but for valid reasons, we knew we would be to the west of it and wouldn't get much BUT we had plans just in case...Looks like with this one we'll need to leave. Stubborn yes, stupid no. We've lived here going on six years now and been hit by two hurricanes, Rita and Umberto, before we settled here there hadn't been a hurricane in 50 years...I think my neighbors are talkin about throwin us out of the neighborhood LOL

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 8, 2008
8:45 PM

Post #5525698

I got this today: http://www.beforethestormhits.com/
There are several tips of what to do before the storm, all are PDF's you can download. (I think, haven't looked closely at any.)

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 8, 2008
9:07 PM

Post #5525785

araness, can you update that link? Now it doesn't work...
araness
Auburn, AL
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
11:17 PM

Post #5526353

http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm

stephanietx

stephanietx
Fort Worth, TX
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
11:32 PM

Post #5526441

Here you go!

Golden Triangle Weather Page http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm

stephanietx

stephanietx
Fort Worth, TX
(Zone 8a)

September 8, 2008
11:34 PM

Post #5526450

I bookmarked the Golden Triangle weather page while I was following Gustav. It's really a cool site!

I was laughing at the previous poster whose dad was calling her. My dad, who lives in San Antonio, calls me all the time and says, "Well, the news shows you're getting rain. How much have you gotten?" I look outside and it's nice and sunny...no rain! LOL

Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 9, 2008
12:07 PM

Post #5528465

[quote]IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD REACH THE SOUTH COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND EMERGE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BEFORE IKE MOVES OVER
WESTERN CUBA. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AFTER
IKE REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.

FIXES FROM CUBAN AND KEY WEST RADARS AS WILL AS PENETRATIONS FROM A
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE SMALL EYE OF IKE IS MOVING
WESTWARD OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS...VERY CLOSE TO THE ZAPATA
PENINSULA ON THE SOUTH COAST OF WESTERN CUBA. A GENERAL WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK BETWEEN THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAVANA PROVINCE SHOULD CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. THEN...THE CENTER SHOULD CROSS WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.
UNFORTUNATELY... IKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR TO WHERE
HURRICANE GUSTAV CROSSED CUBA A WEEK OR SO AGO. [/quote]

Pray for those poor people in Cuba who are getting hit again.

Thumbnail by Marylyn_TX
Click the image for an enlarged view.

beck5711
(Becky) Colmesneil, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 9, 2008
1:41 PM

Post #5528755

I will pray for all the folks that will be in harms way.. but I am giddy happy, lol, that Ike wants to visit somewhere else besides SE TX!!! TY for the update..I am resting easier now!!
AngelSong
Victoria, TX
(Zone 9b)

September 9, 2008
1:50 PM

Post #5528786

Nothing's certain enough for my liking.. dang thing needs to make up its mind.
I'll be under the couch if anybody needs me.


Jennifer & the four leggeds...
http://hunterintraining.blogspot.com

sanita
Brandon, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 9, 2008
2:26 PM

Post #5528950

Araness,
I'm cracking up too. My dad lives in southwest Tn. and he calls every time there's a hurricane on the map! For Gustav he called and said "are you getting blown away yet" No dad, we're fine. He called again Sunday and asked if we were on our way up. He's retired and lonely so watching the weather map in his mind keeps him "looking out for us"
He just wants a reason for us to visit again, We love him though.
Susan
plantladyhou
Katy, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 9, 2008
3:40 PM

Post #5529317

Isn't that nice that your Dad still watches out for you even tho you are grown. He is old(er) and lonely, obviously. Maybe he needs to come down and try to experience a hurricane or at least the preparation for one.

Ann
sanita
Brandon, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 9, 2008
4:43 PM

Post #5529599

Oh no...he doesn't! He has COPD and a heart condition!
He lived down here in the Orlando area for awhile in the late 80's and early 90's. No bad storms other than Andrew then.
We visited him twice this summer and will go back again in November.
Looks like we're going to "dodge the bullet" again here.
I hope the people in Texas are prepared.
Once again, we think a generator is worth every cent it cost.
Susan
araness
Auburn, AL
(Zone 8a)

September 9, 2008
6:29 PM

Post #5529935

LOL my Dad would drive me nuts if he were here during any kind of emergency. He's a trained fire fighter as well as EMT and first responder, ex military and retired pilot and attorney. In short he's an OVER planner. He'd have my entire house taped, boarded, stapled etc we'd have a well DUG, generator wired in as well as it bolted down to a 20 ft slab and he'd drill for oil if he thought he could refine it. I love him but he goes way overboard.
plantladyhou
Katy, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 9, 2008
6:37 PM

Post #5529975

Can't you people have pity on the old folks like your dad and me? Thank goodness we weren't as hard on you while you were growing up and you are on us now that you think you are grown up ... We are older and have a good deal more experience than you so for pete's sake have a heart! Having COPD and a heart condition doesn't put him in the graveyard yet and thank goodness the other dad is an over-achiever and has saved many a person, I'll bet.

Ann
AngelSong
Victoria, TX
(Zone 9b)

September 9, 2008
7:33 PM

Post #5530224

All the "getting older & protective" humor is great... but there's still a storm out there, ya'll...

http://web.tampabay.rr.com/wolfy/
AngelSong
Victoria, TX
(Zone 9b)

September 9, 2008
7:47 PM

Post #5530283

[quote]
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 09 2008

...IKE CROSSING WESTERN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
INLAND OVER WESTERN CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4
WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE
CENTER OF IKE IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A GUST TO 118 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT PASO REAL IN
PINAR DEL RIO. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE AS IKE CROSSES
WESTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT RESTRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED ONCE IKE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL REACH THE
CENTER OF IKE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD GENERATE
DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...22.7 N...83.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
[/quote]

Thumbnail by AngelSong
Click the image for an enlarged view.

AngelSong
Victoria, TX
(Zone 9b)

September 9, 2008
8:56 PM

Post #5530570

[quote]
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 09 2008

...IKE EMERGES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED JUST
OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
NOW THAT IKE HAS EMERGED INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE MOST RECENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN
COASTS OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH
LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD GENERATE
DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
FLORIDA KEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...22.9 N...83.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
[/quote]

Thumbnail by AngelSong
Click the image for an enlarged view.

beck5711
(Becky) Colmesneil, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 9, 2008
9:49 PM

Post #5530805

Yikes... Ike still doesn't know where he wants to go!!

Ann.. you are entirely correct..lol.. even though I am only 56 I enjoy the older crowd way more than my age group.. I do understand.. also.. sometimes our parents can drive us nuts, but that is way better than NOT having them around.. I sure miss my Daddy.. and my Momma has Alzheimers in the nursing home. I dread some days going to see her, yet still rejoice I have her here!

Angelsong... ain't looking too good..huh??? maybe we need to do what the FL girls were doing... BLOWING real HARD!!! SOUTH!!..LOL
Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 9, 2008
10:05 PM

Post #5530874

AngelSong, when I saw the new path I immediately thought of you. I'm glad you're paying attention! (Not that I thought you wouldn't be... ^_^ )
Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 9, 2008
10:15 PM

Post #5530917

[quote]THE GFDL AND HWRF CONTINUE TO FORECAST IKE TO REACH
CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF...WHILE THE
SHIPS AND LGEM FAIL TO MAKE IKE A MAJOR HURRICANE. THE GFS AND
UKMET STILL SHOW AN UPPER-AIR PATTERN THAT LOOKS SLIGHTLY LESS
FAVORABLE IN THE WESTERN GULF...SO I HAVE LEVELLED OFF THE
INTENSITY FORECAST AFTER 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...IKE IS A LARGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE AND MAY BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN ITS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW
ACROSS THE GULF.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 295/9...AND THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE
FORECAST TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IN RESPONSE TO
A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. THERE HAS BEEN A SIGNIFICANT NARROWING IN THE SPREAD OF THE
LATEST MODEL RUNS...WITH THE GFS...GFDL...AND NOGAPS ALL SHOWING
LESS RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF IKE LATE IN THE PERIOD AND SHIFTING
THEIR TRACKS NORTHWARD TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET AND
ECMWF RUNS. IKE IS NOW EXPECTED TO RECURVE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD ON DAYS FOUR AND FIVE...BUT
ALL OF THE BETTER DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE EVEN FARTHER TO THE RIGHT.[/quote]

In other words, they still don't know exactly where it's going or how big it's going to be when it gets there. "...even farther to the right" pushes it up the coast towards Houston and Galveston. Please be careful, all you Texans!


This message was edited Sep 9, 2008 5:15 PM

Thumbnail by Marylyn_TX
Click the image for an enlarged view.

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 9, 2008
10:22 PM

Post #5530955

What a Mess!
sanita
Brandon, FL
(Zone 9a)

September 9, 2008
11:25 PM

Post #5531189

Don't get me wrong, I love my dad dearly. He's a born in Alabama "true redneck" and I appreciate all his concern. Last time we visited him in early August, in Adamsville Tn( and if you know where that is you know what I mean) my husband spent 6 hours mowing his more than 3 acres on his riding mower. Our grandson was having a hissy just waiting for "papa" to get done mowing so he could "ride"
We'll go back again in November for Thanksgiving, have great food and watch the "Turkey Shoot" at the neighbor's house.
Southern living at it's finest.
Please, everyone in Texas and Louisana, stay safe!
Susan
Susie2
Brazoria, TX
(Zone 9b)

September 9, 2008
11:55 PM

Post #5531318

I have a headache.Got my supplies, water, batteries, food, propane for cookstove, generator filled up, gassing up vehicles tomorrow, still moving plants to protected areas. Only 25 miles east from Matagorda Bay, rural and not leaving. Living in a steel structure home well bolted down and feel safe. Just don't like being without electricity and running water. Every year it's like this but the last big one for me was Carla. thank goodness the kids are grown and live elsewhere, so I know what you mean about parents calling. For us, it's the kids calling. right now it's DH, me and Rinky Dink (chihuahua). I have lived on the coast all my life (70), but this is the most nervous that I have ever been. Maybe after a nights rest I will be over my headache.Tomorrows another day. Go to Mexico IKE...
Marylyn_TX
Houston, TX
(Zone 9a)

September 10, 2008
12:44 AM

Post #5531499

I hope you feel better in the morning, Susie.
LindaTX8
NE Medina Co., TX
(Zone 8a)

September 10, 2008
1:08 AM

Post #5531598

I think that some areas are going to get "hurricane fatigue" this year. Even cities that are far inland...but have to repeatedly get their emergency plan going, ready shelters and buses, cover expenses and such to help evacuees, all while preparing in case the hurricane remnants head toward the city. Who knows...one last year that didn't look so bad spawned storms that caused some really bad flooding here and other places. Down near the border, many places still haven't fully recovered from Dolly's wrath. I saw on the news that many in Baton Rouge are still without power after Gustav. I heard about some evacuees staying in San Antonio who weren't able to return home quickly enough, then said they would wait a bit and see where this one heads. I feel guilty for hoping Ike won't turn toward Houston and Angleton in Texas, where I have relatives. But there's pretty much people everywhere!

stephanietx

stephanietx
Fort Worth, TX
(Zone 8a)

September 10, 2008
3:36 AM

Post #5532303

Sanita, I KNOW where Adamsville, TN is!! My in-laws live in Selmer, TN!!

Looks like Ike's going to hit the central TX coast, then head inland to San Antonio. I called my dad tonight to ask him if he was making a hurricane preparedness list so he could go to the store tomorrow. He's waiting...Grrrr!! Then, Ike's going to head up my way.

However, we'll just have to wait and see.

Lilypon

Lilypon
Moose Jaw, SK
(Zone 3b)

September 10, 2008
4:06 AM

Post #5532399

http://www.handsandfeetproject.org/index02.php

There is a video at the above site that has to be seen to be believed (note it may take a minute or two to load).

I've made comments about coming up to western Canada (definitely out-of-range here) after watching, from afar, a few of these hurricanes develop and now, after seeing the above, I'd be hightailing it way up north (or far to the east or west) if I was anywhere in Ike's general cone in a day or two.

I can't blow hard enough from up here but I'll turn all my fans toward the Gulf. Hoping it dissipates/downgrades very, very soon.

post edited because I just saw that they predict the storm will head somewhat north after landfall.

This message was edited Sep 10, 2008 12:13 AM
araness
Auburn, AL
(Zone 8a)

September 10, 2008
4:08 AM

Post #5532403

I'm waiting till tomorrow to make reservations in Dallas. From what DH was told at work (the have a company that gives them info about hurricanes etc) a cold front is pushing in from the west and they expect Ike to contiune being pushed eastward which puts us in the right front of the storm. Yippie...If Houston evac's traffic will be terrible so we will leave in the middle of the night again. Keeping my fingers crossed that the morning reports look a bit better for us, but, then it's bad for someone else...catch 22.

Lilypon

Lilypon
Moose Jaw, SK
(Zone 3b)

September 10, 2008
4:27 AM

Post #5532446

May God help everyone in his way if something doesn't change soon. Keep in mind he also helps those who help themselves (good plan re booking and leaving araness :)
beck5711
(Becky) Colmesneil, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 10, 2008
4:47 AM

Post #5532495

araness.. yeah.. our weatherman on channel 12 was saying something similar.. and said Ike could turn N.. right to us! Once again.. wherever the nursing home takes my momma we will follow, and like you we'll travel at night too! Was a breeze traveling for Gustav.. but this one will be another whole different "ball of wax" ..I am afraid

stephanietx

stephanietx
Fort Worth, TX
(Zone 8a)

September 10, 2008
11:36 AM

Post #5532901

To top it all off, there's a stationary front draped over the south central part of Texas. Depending on how that moves will also affect where Ike goes. Then, there's also the high ridge of pressure floating around somewhere near the panhandle. If it starts moving east, it'll push Ike eastward.

Stephanie
plantladyhou
Katy, TX
(Zone 8b)

September 10, 2008
12:48 PM

Post #5533098

We're back in Harris County where I was born and raised. When my DDH retired we moved to near Palacios and finally to Victoria. After having our big pier totaled in Palacios at the same time we lost some fence and trees in Victoria we moved back here where I feel "reasonably" safe. I wouldn't in Pal. or Vic. this go round. Hope that all of you down that way have it easy as possible and that we do too. There just doesn't seem to be any place that would be safer for us right now except up in WI where my DDH has family

Ann

darius

darius
So.App.Mtns.
United States
(Zone 5b)

September 10, 2008
12:56 PM

Post #5533134

Let's continue this on a new thread, Hurricane Ike:
http://davesgarden.com/community/forums/t/901717/
AngelSong
Victoria, TX
(Zone 9b)

September 10, 2008
12:58 PM

Post #5533144

I'm planning to leave. Arrangements are made for myself, horses, dogs, cats.

Blow-ables are stowed best I can around the house.

My nerves are not assembled, however; they're fried.

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